|
Hide all answers
Hide all answers
View all answers
View all answers
Print
Try the Quiz
There is a village that has five fortune tellers.
The first fortune teller's prediction has 83 % chance of being correct. The second has 65 % chance of being correct, the third 48 %, the fourth 28 %, and the fifth 7 %.
If you were trying to get the best prediction of your future, which fortune teller would you go to?
• first
• second
• third
• fourth
• fifth
Answer: fifth
Solution:
The fifth fortune teller would allow you to get the best prediction of your future.
The fifth fortune teller predicts with only 7 % accuracy. So, there is a 93 % chance of the fifth fortune teller being wrong.
If you consider the opposite of the fifth fortune teller's predictions, then you get the prediction of your future with 93 % accuracy. This is higher than the accuracy of the other four fortune tellers.
Try the Quiz : The Best Fortune Teller
|
