Hide all answersHide all answersView all answersView all answersPrintTry the Quiz
There is a village that has five fortune tellers.
The first fortune teller's prediction has 76 % chance of being correct. The second has 61 % chance of being correct, the third 42 %, the fourth 33 %, and the fifth 5 %.
If you were trying to get the best prediction of your future, which fortune teller would you go to? first
Solution: The fifth fortune teller would allow you to get the best prediction of your future.
The fifth fortune teller predicts with only 5 % accuracy. So, there is a 95 % chance of the fifth fortune teller being wrong.
If you consider the opposite of the fifth fortune teller's predictions, then you get the prediction of your future with 95 % accuracy. This is higher than the accuracy of the other four fortune tellers.